Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Salford City in this match.
