Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.