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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
35.26% ( -2.7) | 27.64% ( -0.06) | 37.1% ( 2.76) |
Both teams to score 48.87% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.09% ( 0.31) | 56.91% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.18% ( 0.25) | 77.82% ( -0.25) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( -1.5) | 30.66% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( -1.81) | 66.91% ( 1.81) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% ( 1.9) | 29.52% ( -1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% ( 2.25) | 65.54% ( -2.25) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.6) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Notts County | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
7 | Port Vale | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Chesterfield | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
20 | Salford City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
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