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Carlisle United
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Doncaster Rovers
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Morecambe
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Doncaster Rovers

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Doncaster

Umerah (38'), McDonald (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Faulkner (67')
Molyneux (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hartlepool United 0-2 Doncaster Rovers

Hartlepool have made a really disappointing start to the season and confidence is surely at a low point, whereas Doncaster are only looking up as they aim for the playoffs this season. Despite Hartlepool's decent home record, their winless run this season looks set to continue against a buoyant Doncaster. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
35.26% (-2.698 -2.7) 27.64% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 37.1% (2.759 2.76)
Both teams to score 48.87% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.09% (0.311 0.31)56.91% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.18% (0.249 0.25)77.82% (-0.25 -0.25)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-1.503 -1.5)30.66% (1.503 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-1.813 -1.81)66.91% (1.811 1.81)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (1.895 1.9)29.52% (-1.895 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (2.252 2.25)65.54% (-2.251 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 35.26%
    Doncaster Rovers 37.1%
    Draw 27.64%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.632 -0.63)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.44 0.44)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.396 0.4)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.597 0.6)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.318 0.32)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.37 0.37)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.1%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Doncaster

Hartlepool United
22.6%
Draw
22.6%
Doncaster Rovers
54.8%
31
Head to Head
May 6, 2017 5.30pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Doncaster
Rodney (74', 83')
Magnay (82')
Williams (31')
McCullough (36'), McSheffrey (85'), Wright (95')
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Oct 13, 2012 3pm
Jan 29, 2008 3pm
Doncaster
2-0
Hartlepool
Lockwood (54'), Wellens (34')

Porter (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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