EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe3 - 1Barrow
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Morecambe and Barrow.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colchester 1-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Barrow |
30.06% ( -1.15) | 26.21% ( -0.2) | 43.72% ( 1.35) |
Both teams to score 51.8% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.48% ( 0.37) | 52.52% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% ( 0.31) | 74.18% ( -0.32) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( -0.63) | 31.95% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( -0.72) | 68.41% ( 0.72) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( 0.83) | 23.88% ( -0.84) |