League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
5 - 0
Walsall

Tezgel (28'), Dean (59' pen., 78'), Gilbey (62'), Tomlinson (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordon (68'), Adegboyega (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Walsall

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both teams are aiming to be promoted out of League Two this season, and that makes matches like this crucially important, but can also lead to cautious displays. Considering they are each coming into this one on the back of poor performances, it could be a case of taking a point that is better than gambling for all three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Walsall
52.31% ( -0.07)	22.51% ( 0.02)	25.17% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 60.25% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.34% (

-0.03)

39.66% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.98% (

-0.04)

62.01% (

0.04)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.73% (

-0.04)

15.27% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.03% (

-0.07)

43.96% (

0.06)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11% (

0.02)

28.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.23% (

0.02)

64.76% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 52.31%

Walsall 25.17%

Draw 22.51%

MK Dons	Draw	Walsall
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.87% Total : 52.31%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.51%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.17%