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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Walsall
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Walsall
2 - 1
Accrington

Okagbue (60'), Adegboyega (85')
Faal (90+7'), Gordon (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nolan (56' pen.)
Martin (22'), Nolan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-0 Accrington Stanley

Walsall are in great form heading into this game after three consecutive victories and a four-game unbeaten streak. Accrington, on the other hand, have dominated this fixture, winning the last four. However, we think the home side will edge this at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawAccrington Stanley
49.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 24.23% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.52% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (-0.012 -0.01)46.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (0.025999999999996 0.03)18.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.68% (0.047000000000004 0.05)50.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)31.35% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)67.72% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 49.24%
    Accrington Stanley 26.52%
    Draw 24.23%
WalsallDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Walsall vs Accrington

Walsall
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Accrington
2-1
Walsall
Leigh (9'), Pritchard (57')
Woods (45+3')
Draper (45+4' pen.)
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Accrington
2-1
Walsall
Sykes (11', 69')
Finley (63')
Devlin (33')
Kinsella (45'), Scarr (80'), Gordon (81'), Cook (84'), Leahy (88')
Gordon (84')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Walsall
0-1
Accrington

Fitzwater (85')
Kee (7' pen.)
McConville (26'), Clark (31')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Walsall
3-2
Accrington
Keates (75' pen.), Harper (21'), Butler (85')
Keates (77')
Williams (65'), Mullin (25')
Williams (66'), Whalley (73')
Oct 21, 2006 3pm
Accrington
1-2
Walsall
Craney (78')
Edwards (24')
Wright (85'), Sam (40')
Constable (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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