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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Salford City |
57.49% ( -0.02) | 21.02% | 21.49% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.22% ( 0.01) | 36.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.05% ( 0.02) | 58.94% ( -0.02) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.33% ( -0) | 12.66% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.16% ( -0) | 38.83% ( -0) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% ( 0.02) | 30.34% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.47% ( 0.03) | 66.53% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 4.03% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 21.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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