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Championship header 2

League Two
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Edgeley Park
MK Dons

Stockport
5 - 0
MK Dons

Camps (31'), Madden (36'), Olaofe (45+1'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51'), Byrne (90+5')
Kane (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Payne (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Stockport County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 1-1 MK Dons

 Stockport boss Challinor has labelled Saturday's enticing showdown as one that both sides simply have to win, but the hosts' recent failures to convert one point into three and MK Dons' propensity to fall short on the road may put paid to that idea. The Hatters are certainly nowhere near the force that they were during the earliest months of the campaign, but even with their crisis on the left-hand side of the backline, we can envisage the defensively-sound hosts maintaining their top-three position by taking a point off an MK Dons crop who do not travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawMK Dons
52.04% (0.238 0.24) 23.71% (-0.032 -0.03) 24.25% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)45.93% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.24% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (0.075000000000003 0.08)17.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.125 0.13)48.26% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.19300000000001 -0.19)33.02% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-0.216 -0.22)69.61% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 52.03%
    MK Dons 24.25%
    Draw 23.7%
Stockport CountyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 52.03%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: Stockport vs MK Dons

Stockport County
43.8%
Draw
28.1%
MK Dons
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
MK Dons
1-2
Stockport
Eisa (26')
Robson (58'), Smith (62'), Gilbey (72'), Harvie (83')
Barry (17'), Powell (45+2')
Barry (75'), Pye (88')
Feb 6, 2010 3pm
Stockport
1-3
MK Dons
Donnelly (11')
Sadler (35'), Mullins (60'), Pilkington (89')
Townsend (74'), Easter (24'), Wilbraham (56')
Woodards (21'), Easter (43'), Townsend (74')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Stockport
Puncheon (25', 82'), Quashie (49'), Easter (28')
Easter (42'), Puncheon (75')

Raynes (10'), Griffin (87'), Mullins (90')
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Stockport
0-1
MK Dons
Wilbraham (36')
Wilbraham (31'), Regan (81')
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Stockport
Gerba (45')
Leven (45'), Cummings (67'), Angel Llera (83'), Gallen (88'), Navarro (90')
Lewington (90' og.), Taylor (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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