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Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
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MK Dons
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Crewe Alexandra

MK Dons
3 - 1
Crewe

Dennis (5', 22'), Wearne (25')
Bate (62'), Kemp (70'), Tomlinson (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Nevitt (19')
Turns (38'), Cooney (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
57.36% (0.15 0.15) 21.08% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 21.57% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.73% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (0.217 0.22)36.96% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.85% (0.23399999999999 0.23)59.15% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23% (0.11499999999999 0.11)12.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.96% (0.234 0.23)39.04% (-0.232 -0.23)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.049999999999997 0.05)30.39% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (0.059000000000005 0.06)66.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 57.36%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.57%
    Draw 21.08%
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.72% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 21.57%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
3-1
MK Dons
Thomas (62'), Baker-Richardson (69'), Long (90')
Thomas (55'), O'Riordan (89'), Rowe (90+2'), Davies (90+3')
Leko (8')
Gilbey (75')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
MK Dons
2-1
Crewe
Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crewe
1-4
MK Dons
Long (52')
Lloyd-Bennett (69')
Eisa (12'), O'Riley (64'), Daniels (82' og.), Watters (90+6')
Twine (58')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
MK Dons
0-2
Crewe
Mandron (15', 20')
Lancashire (77'), Wintle (90+5')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
2-0
MK Dons
Mandron (13'), Finney (20')
Finney (56')

Gladwin (37'), Houghton (57'), Fraser (65'), Morris (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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