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Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crewe Alexandra

Newport
2 - 2
Crewe

Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Bennett (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
Thomas (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Newport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Bradford
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-2 Crewe Alexandra

Crewe will be full of confidence following back-to-back wins, and we are expecting the visitors to collect another three points here. Newport's disappointing home record this season is difficult to ignore, and it could be more frustration for the majority of the fans at Rodney Parade on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
58.72% (-0.358 -0.36) 23.62% (0.167 0.17) 17.65% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.359 -0.36)53.39% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-0.304 -0.3)74.93% (0.303 0.3)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.261 -0.26)17.93% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-0.45 -0.45)48.76% (0.44900000000001 0.45)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (0.027000000000001 0.03)44.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)80.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 58.72%
    Crewe Alexandra 17.65%
    Draw 23.62%
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 13.57% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.095 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.65%

How you voted: Newport vs Crewe

Newport County
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
Drysdale (15')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
gameweek 5
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (93')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
gameweek 28
Crewe
3-2
Newport
Bowery (34'), Porter (88' pen.), Ainley (90')
Ray (69')
Semenyo (65'), Amond (76')
Matt (72'), Semenyo (74')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
gameweek 2
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (33')
Crofts (16')

Kirk (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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