League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 2
Crewe

Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Bennett (43')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
Thomas (52')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Newport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Bradford
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newport County 1-2 Crewe Alexandra

Crewe will be full of confidence following back-to-back wins, and we are expecting the visitors to collect another three points here. Newport's disappointing home record this season is difficult to ignore, and it could be more frustration for the majority of the fans at Rodney Parade on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
58.72% ( -0.36)	23.62% ( 0.17)	17.65% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 45.93% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6% (

-0.36)

53.39% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07% (

-0.3)

74.93% (

0.3)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

-0.26)

17.93% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24% (

-0.45)

48.76% (

0.45)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.96% (

0.03)

44.03% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.85% (

0.02)

80.15% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Newport County 58.72%

Crewe Alexandra 17.65%

Draw 23.62%

Newport County	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 13.57% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.72%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 17.65%