League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
1 - 3
Newport

Demetriou (12' og.)
Ravenhill (35'), Biggins (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Farquharson (64'), Wildig (71'), Norman (79')
Lewis (17'), Norman (30'), Moriah-Welsh (50'), Evans (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Newport County
31.57% ( 0.01)	27.72% ( 0.01)	40.71% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.91% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.21% (

-0.03)

57.78% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.48% (

-0.02)

78.52% (

0.02)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.4% (

-0.01)

33.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.76% (

-0.01)

70.24% (

0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15% (

-0.02)

27.85% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.55% (

-0.03)

63.45% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 31.56%

Newport County 40.71%

Draw 27.71%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.56%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.71%