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Championship header 2

League Two
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Crewe Alexandra

Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Crewe

Holohan (13'), Orsi (82')
Khan (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mellor (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

 Grimsby have a fantastic recent record against Crewe, and while they have not been at their best in recent times, they have lost just one of their last eight home games in the league. As such, we expect the Mariners to run out narrow victors in a result that will move them up into the top half of the League Two table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
52.3% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 26.29% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.41% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.17% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)42.83% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)79.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 52.29%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.41%
    Draw 26.29%
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Crewe

Grimsby Town
80.0%
Draw
6.7%
Crewe Alexandra
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
gameweek 30
Crewe
0-3
Grimsby Town
McAtee (3'), Lloyd (31'), Dickson-Peters (84')
Green (73')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
4-0
Crewe
Waterfall (13'), Green (34'), Smith (56'), Wearne (86')
Amos (3')

Mellor (65')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
gameweek 45
Crewe
P-P
Grimsby Town
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
gameweek 7
Grimsby Town
0-2
Crewe

Hanson (49')
Lowery (46'), Kirk (91')
Powell (62'), Kirk (92')
May 4, 2019 3pm
gameweek 46
Grimsby Town
2-0
Crewe
Davis (26'), Grayson (34')
Wright (62')

Sass-Davies (12'), Ng (19')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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