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Championship header 2

League Two
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Crewe Alexandra

Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Crewe

Holohan (13'), Orsi (82')
Khan (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mellor (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

 Grimsby have a fantastic recent record against Crewe, and while they have not been at their best in recent times, they have lost just one of their last eight home games in the league. As such, we expect the Mariners to run out narrow victors in a result that will move them up into the top half of the League Two table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
52.3% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 26.29% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.41% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.17% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)42.83% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)79.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 52.29%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.41%
    Draw 26.29%
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Crewe

Grimsby Town
80.0%
Draw
6.7%
Crewe Alexandra
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
gameweek 30
Crewe
0-3
Grimsby Town
McAtee (3'), Lloyd (31'), Dickson-Peters (84')
Green (73')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
4-0
Crewe
Waterfall (13'), Green (34'), Smith (56'), Wearne (86')
Amos (3')

Mellor (65')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
gameweek 45
Crewe
P-P
Grimsby Town
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
gameweek 7
Grimsby Town
0-2
Crewe

Hanson (49')
Lowery (46'), Kirk (91')
Powell (62'), Kirk (92')
May 4, 2019 3pm
gameweek 46
Grimsby Town
2-0
Crewe
Davis (26'), Grayson (34')
Wright (62')

Sass-Davies (12'), Ng (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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