League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Crewe1 - 2Newport
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Crewe
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Derby
Sunday, November 27 at 3.15pm in FA Cup
Sunday, November 27 at 3.15pm in FA Cup
We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Newport County
There is not much to separate the team in the league table, and that is likely going to create a close encounter between them on Saturday. However, while Newport County have put in some stronger performances as of late, the impressive home record of Crewe Alexandra should be enough to grant them the win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Newport County |
34.38% ( -0.01) | 27.93% | 37.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.92% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
