League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Bogle (17'), Demetriou (44')
Bogle (61'), Demetriou (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sylla (58')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Newport
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Stevenage
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Hartlepool United
51.92% ( 0.05)	25.27% ( -0.02)	22.81% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.71% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34% (

0.03)

53.65% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85% (

0.03)

75.15% (

-0.03)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

0.03)

20.67% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

0.05)

53.26% (

-0.05)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4% (

-0.01)

38.59% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66% (

-0.01)

75.33% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Newport County 51.91%

Hartlepool United 22.81%

Draw 25.26%

Newport County	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.91%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.81%