League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Crewe2 - 1Swindon
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Crewe
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
27.6% ( -0.01) | 25.22% ( 0) | 47.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
