The Match
Match Report
County won 2-0 at home to Forest Green in the first leg of their League Two play-off semi-final.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 39.09% | 29.33% | 31.57% |
| Both teams to score 43.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
