Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.07%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-0 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.