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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Notts County

Carlisle
0 - 2
Notts County


Vela (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jatta (10'), Robertson (34')
Platt (16'), Abbott (62'), Bedeau (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawNotts County
32.63% (0.089999999999996 0.09) 23.77% (0.084 0.08) 43.59% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 61.25% (-0.276 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28% (-0.376 -0.38)40.71% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9% (-0.385 -0.38)63.09% (0.381 0.38)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.128 -0.13)24.41% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (-0.178 -0.18)58.83% (0.175 0.18)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)18.96% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5% (-0.382 -0.38)50.49% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 32.63%
    Notts County 43.59%
    Draw 23.77%
Carlisle UnitedDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.53% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.63%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 43.59%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Carlisle
1-3
Notts County
Hope (76')
Gerrard (66'), Devitt (96')
Hemmings (37', 66'), Alessandra (90')
Milsom (23'), Rose (87'), O'Brien (93')
Nov 27, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Notts County
1-1
Carlisle
Hewitt (63')
Hewitt (79')
Yates (84')
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
2-1
Carlisle
Stead (19', 35')
Noble (62'), Duffy (79'), Husin (80'), Alessandra (81')
Devitt (75')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale116321612421
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster116231613320
3Notts County115421911819
4Walsall106131912719
5Gillingham11614137619
6BarrowBarrow11614138519
7Bradford CityBradford115331611518
8Grimsby Town116051518-318
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe105231110117
10AFC Wimbledon8512135816
11Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
12Chesterfield113621912715
13Newport CountyNewport115061621-515
14Harrogate TownHarrogate114251016-614
15MK Dons113351313012
16Salford City10334711-412
17Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
18Swindon TownSwindon112541215-311
19Tranmere RoversTranmere10253511-611
20Bromley102441214-210
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham113171419-510
22Accrington StanleyAccrington102351320-79
23Morecambe11146914-57
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle112181023-137


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