MX23RW : Sunday, January 26 06:41:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Notts County

Cheltenham
3 - 5
Notts County

Stubbs (4'), Bowman (47'), Colwill (60')
John Flynn (29'), Payne (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jatta (26', 90+3'), Martin (39'), Abbott (58'), Austin (62')
Palmer (28'), Hinchy (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Crewe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Notts County
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Notts County

Cheltenham are getting their act together, and we have confidence they will continue to ride their strong home form to another three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawNotts County
39.46% (0.112 0.11) 25.22% (0.041 0.04) 35.33% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.83% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (-0.21 -0.21)46.79% (0.214 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (-0.196 -0.2)69.05% (0.2 0.2)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)23.48% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)57.51% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (-0.187 -0.19)25.73% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.251 -0.25)60.65% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.46%
    Notts County 35.33%
    Draw 25.21%
Cheltenham TownDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.46%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.33%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Notts County

Cheltenham Town
34.0%
Draw
21.3%
Notts County
44.7%
47
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
4-1
Notts County
Boyle (29'), Varney (36' pen.), Waters (55'), Barnett (88')
Hemmings (69' pen.)
Rose (72')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Notts County
0-3
Cheltenham

Hawkridge (42'), Turley (72')
Varney (35', 65'), Barnett (87')
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
8pm
Washington
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Bills
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!