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Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Carlisle United

Tranmere
1 - 0
Carlisle

Norman (23')
Patrick (38'), Davies (58'), Jennings (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayden (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Tranmere
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Carlisle
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Carlisle United

This weekend's match between Tranmere and Carlisle features two teams who have both struggled with consistency this season. While the home side might expect a comfortable encounter against the team currently bottom of the table, the visitors are unbeaten in their last two matches against Tranmere, suggesting that Saturday's fixture could end in a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
47.68% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.82% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 26.5% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (0.028999999999996 0.03)52.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (0.024999999999999 0.02)74.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.020999999999987 0.02)22.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)55.56% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)71.61% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 47.68%
    Carlisle United 26.5%
    Draw 25.81%
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Carlisle

Tranmere Rovers
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carlisle
1-2
Tranmere
Patrick (7')
Jones (45+1'), Ellis (85')
Davies (7'), Patrick (37')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Carlisle
2-0
Tranmere
Dennis (3', 39')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Carlisle
2-1
Tranmere
Gibson (30'), Harris (66')
Byrne (82')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Tranmere
0-2
Carlisle
Dennis (1', 54')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2912983629745
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2981293940-136
17Newport CountyNewport2896133747-1033
18Gillingham2795132529-432
19BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2965182746-1923
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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