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Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Carlisle United

Tranmere
1 - 0
Carlisle

Norman (23')
Patrick (38'), Davies (58'), Jennings (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayden (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Tranmere
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Carlisle
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Carlisle United

This weekend's match between Tranmere and Carlisle features two teams who have both struggled with consistency this season. While the home side might expect a comfortable encounter against the team currently bottom of the table, the visitors are unbeaten in their last two matches against Tranmere, suggesting that Saturday's fixture could end in a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
47.68% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.82% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 26.5% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (0.028999999999996 0.03)52.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (0.024999999999999 0.02)74.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.020999999999987 0.02)22.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)55.56% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)71.61% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 47.68%
    Carlisle United 26.5%
    Draw 25.81%
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Carlisle

Tranmere Rovers
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carlisle
1-2
Tranmere
Patrick (7')
Jones (45+1'), Ellis (85')
Davies (7'), Patrick (37')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Carlisle
2-0
Tranmere
Dennis (3', 39')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Carlisle
2-1
Tranmere
Gibson (30'), Harris (66')
Byrne (82')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Tranmere
0-2
Carlisle
Dennis (1', 54')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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