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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
47.68% ( 0.02) | 25.82% ( -0.01) | 26.5% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.68% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.14% ( 0.03) | 52.85% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.53% ( 0.02) | 74.47% ( -0.03) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( 0.02) | 22.17% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( 0.03) | 55.56% ( -0.04) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.12% ( 0) | 34.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.38% ( 0) | 71.61% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 36 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 33 |
18 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
19 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
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