MX23RW : Monday, January 27 17:31:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Morecambe

Carlisle
0 - 1
Morecambe


Ellis (60')
Mellish (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edwards (61')
Hendrie (36'), Lewis (89'), Tutonda (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Carlisle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Morecambe

Despite their recent struggles, Morecambe have looked much more cohesive and decisive away from home, and we believe they can frustrate a side that have been dismal in front of their supporters all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
36.68% (-0.707 -0.71) 26.65% (0.117 0.12) 36.67% (0.588 0.59)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06% (-0.481 -0.48)52.94% (0.476 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46% (-0.411 -0.41)74.54% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.642 -0.64)27.85% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)63.45% (0.824 0.82)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (0.117 0.12)27.85% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (0.15 0.15)63.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.68%
    Morecambe 36.67%
    Draw 26.65%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.34% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.218 0.22)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.67%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Morecambe

Carlisle United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Morecambe
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
1-2
Carlisle
Hope (16')
Snowball (45+1'), Lewis (76')
O'Donoghue (75'), Williams (78')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
0-2
Carlisle

Gibson (34')
Gibson (49'), Mellor (54')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Morecambe
3-1
Carlisle
Wildig (32'), Diagouraga (37'), Stockton (53')
Lavelle (12'), Mellor (45+2')
Hayden (79')
Alessandra (39')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Carlisle
3-1
Morecambe
Songo'o (1' og.), Mellish (3'), Tanner (87')
Riley (37'), Reilly (89')
Songo'o (79')
O'Sullivan (50'), Songo'o (81')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-2
Morecambe
Patrick (45'), Hayden (65')
Watt (51'), Anderton (59'), Webster (90')
Stockton (18'), Wildig (24')
Cranston (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920


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