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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 33.77% and a draw has a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.89%).
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Carlisle United |
39.04% ( -1.07) | 27.19% ( 0.73) | 33.77% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 50.06% ( -2.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.67% ( -2.83) | 55.34% ( 2.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.45% ( -2.37) | 76.55% ( 2.38) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% ( -1.9) | 27.63% ( 1.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.84% ( -2.52) | 63.16% ( 2.52) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( -1.18) | 30.84% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.89% ( -1.41) | 67.12% ( 1.42) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.03% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.89) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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