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Oldham Athletic
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Northampton Town

Oldham
0 - 2
Northampton


Jameson (90')
Piergianni (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guthrie (44'), Appere (66')
Sowerby (64'), Rose (84'), Hoskins (90'), Horsfall (90')

Preview: Oldham Athletic vs. Northampton Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams at opposite ends of the League Two table will meet on Friday when 22nd-placed Oldham Athletic will welcome Northampton Town, who are fighting for promotion.

The hosts will be looking to get back to winning ways after a defeat at the weekend; meanwhile, the visitors have gone two matches in a row without three points heading into this one.


Match preview

Morecambe's Carlos Mendes Gomes in action with Oldham Athletic's Dylan Fage in League Two on October 20, 2020© Reuters

Oldham Athletic were defeated on Saturday in a frantic five-goal thriller against Port Vale, and despite coming back from behind twice, they ultimately fell short 3-2.

This ended a two-match winning streak for John Sheridan's men, who had improved the defensive side of their game by keeping consecutive clean sheets in that period.

With the Latics currently 22nd in the league table, there is pressure on the team to deliver results in order to sustain their place in the division for next season.

Because Stevenage have a game in hand, Oldham are currently relying on others to help them out as only goal difference is keeping them out of the relegation zone.

The Latics also have the second-worst home record in League Two this season, having won just five of their 20 matches to this point.

That is something that Northampton Town will be hoping to exploit on Friday as they continue to push for promotion out of the division.

Jon Brady's squad are only five points adrift of the automatic positions as they sit fifth in the table, but a defeat could also see them slip out of the playoff places entirely.

That is how close things are at the top right now, with Salford City and Tranmere Rovers eagerly awaiting a team to make a mistake.

Northampton have put themselves under pressure after failing to defeat both Mansfield Town and Bradford City in their two most recent outings, and they did not score in either of those games.

The Cobblers should be confident that they can get back to winning ways on Saturday as they defeated Oldham 2-1 earlier this season, even though they were held to a goalless draw by the Bantams on Saturday.

Oldham Athletic League Two form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Northampton Town League Two form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

After getting on the scoresheet against Port Vale at the weekend KD Davis will be hoping to retain his place in the Oldham team on Friday.

Jamie Hopcutt was used as a substitute in that match despite being dropped from the starting XI, and he will likely be an option once again.

The visitors are currently without Paul Lewis due to suspension, but after making his first start of the season Scott Pollock will be hoping to remain in the team this weekend.

Ali Koiki was able to appear from the bench against Bradford after his hamstring injury, while Shaun McWilliams is also an option for the Cobblers following his knee issue.

Oldham Athletic possible starting lineup:
Rogers; Clarke, Sutton, Piergianni, Hart; Whelan, Missilou; Adams, Davis, Hope; Luamba

Northampton Town possible starting lineup:
Roberts; Koiki, Guthrie, Horsfall, McGowan; Sowerby, Hoskins, Pollock, Pinnock, Eppiah; Appere


SM words green background

We say: Oldham Athletic 1-2 Northampton Town

Both teams are desperately fighting for points at the moment for different reasons, but it should set up a close encounter this Friday.

However, the quality of Northampton Town should be enough to see them through in this particular game, even though they have struggled in their most recent matches.






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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Oldham vs Northampton

Oldham Athletic
45.5%
Draw
36.4%
Northampton Town
18.2%
11
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