League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
1 - 2
Mansfield

Keillor-Dunn (24')
Whelan (73'), Rogers (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oates (53'), Lapslie (90+5')
Perch (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Barrow	46	-13	44
23	Oldham Athletic	46	-29	38
24	Scunthorpe United	46	-61	26

Mansfield Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76

We said: Oldham Athletic 0-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield's late winner in the week is likely to have re-energised their side following their back-to-back defeats prior to it. With the visitors on the up and the hosts in a desperate situation at the bottom following a dreadful run, Mansfield should be expected to edge out Oldham in this one, albeit likely by a narrow margin with both sides left with plenty to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Mansfield Town
25.24%	23.82%	50.94%

Both teams to score 55.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.49%

45.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.16%

67.84%

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03%

31.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58%

68.42%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.1%

17.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.3%

48.7%

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 25.24%

Mansfield Town 50.94%

Draw 23.81%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.53% 2-1 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.24%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.47% 1-3 @ 5.54% 0-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.94%