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Oldham Athletic
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Mansfield Town

Oldham
1 - 2
Mansfield

Keillor-Dunn (24')
Whelan (73'), Rogers (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oates (53'), Lapslie (90+5')
Perch (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oldham Athletic 0-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield's late winner in the week is likely to have re-energised their side following their back-to-back defeats prior to it. With the visitors on the up and the hosts in a desperate situation at the bottom following a dreadful run, Mansfield should be expected to edge out Oldham in this one, albeit likely by a narrow margin with both sides left with plenty to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawMansfield Town
25.24%23.82%50.94%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49%45.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16%67.84%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58%68.42%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1%17.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3%48.7%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 25.24%
    Mansfield Town 50.94%
    Draw 23.81%
Oldham AthleticDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.53%
2-1 @ 6.4%
2-0 @ 3.72%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.24%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-2 @ 8.47%
1-3 @ 5.54%
0-3 @ 4.86%
2-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.94%

How you voted: Oldham vs Mansfield

Oldham Athletic
29.6%
Draw
3.7%
Mansfield Town
66.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
0-0
Oldham

Clarke (38'), Lapslie (76'), Burke (90+2')

Stobbs (37'), Clarke (86')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
4-1
Oldham
Sinclair (12'), Lapslie (38', 80'), Reid (88')
Dearnley (51')
Clarke (77')
Jan 13, 2021 7.45pm
Oldham
2-3
Mansfield
McCalmont (6'), McAleny (84')
McAleny (61'), Rowe (65')
Charsley (36'), Sweeney (38'), Reid (49')
Cook (34'), Lapslie (87')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Oldham
3-1
Mansfield
Smith (23'), Hamer (43'), Nepomuceno (58')
Khan (93')
Riley (16'), Pearce (70')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
6-1
Oldham
Maynard (31', 34', 45'), Wheater (56' og.), Afolayan (66'), Knowles (83' pen.)
Pearce (65'), Sweeney (92')
Haymer (43')
Morais (33')
Egert (37'), Morais (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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