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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Colchester United |
47.19% ( 0.01) | 25.82% ( -0) | 26.99% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.44% ( 0.01) | 52.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.78% ( 0) | 74.22% ( -0) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( 0) | 22.27% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.28% ( 0.01) | 55.71% ( -0) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.68% | 34.32% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% ( -0) | 71.02% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.18% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
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