MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 13:06:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Swindon Town

Port Vale
2 - 1
Swindon

Byers (61'), Cover (85')
Garrity (59'), Sang (87'), Byers (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wright (89')
Cotterill (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Port Vale
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawSwindon Town
41.71% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 26.95% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)54.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)76.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)25.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)68.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 41.71%
    Swindon Town 31.34%
    Draw 26.95%
Port ValeDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 41.71%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.34%

Head to Head
May 19, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-0
Swindon
(Aggregate 0-0 | Port Vale win 6-5 on penalties)
Wilson (8')
Wilson (42'), Pett (59')

Iandolo (56'), Conroy (95'), McKirdy (120+1')
May 15, 2022 12pm
Swindon
2-1
Port Vale
McKirdy (26', 68')
Davison (32'), Reed (77')
Wilson (83')
Charsley (42')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Port Vale
1-3
Swindon
Harratt (26')
Lucas (45+3')
Williams (20'), Gladwin (45+5' pen.), Smith (69' og.)
Lyden (81')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swindon
1-2
Port Vale
Simpson (49')
Payne (13'), Simpson (45+4'), Gilbert (55'), Parsons (83')
Garrity (22', 81')
Jones (27')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-0
Port Vale
Legge (41' og.), Hope (45'), Doughty (60')
Doughty (91')

Atkinson (34'), Joyce (42'), Brisley (85'), Legge (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!