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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Chesterfield |
33.44% ( -0.03) | 25.21% | 41.35% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% ( -0) | 47.12% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( -0) | 69.35% ( 0) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% ( -0.02) | 27.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% ( -0.02) | 62.36% ( 0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% ( 0.01) | 22.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.67% ( 0.02) | 56.33% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 41.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |