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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Chesterfield |
33.44% ( -0.03) | 25.21% | 41.35% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% ( -0) | 47.12% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( -0) | 69.35% ( 0) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% ( -0.02) | 27.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% ( -0.02) | 62.36% ( 0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% ( 0.01) | 22.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.67% ( 0.02) | 56.33% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 41.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |