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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
40.94% | 26.37% | 32.69% |
Both teams to score 52.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.74% | 52.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.04% | 73.96% |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% | 25.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% | 59.88% |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.99% | 30% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.87% | 66.12% |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 46 |
2 | Port Vale | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 34 |
6 | Chesterfield | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 34 |
7 | Notts County | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
9 | Salford City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 33 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 31 |
11 | MK Dons | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
12 | Bromley | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
13 | Gillingham | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 26 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 26 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 20 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Morecambe | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 17 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 15 |
> League Two Full Table |