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Championship header 2

League Two
Salford City
League Two | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Stockport County

Salford City
1 - 0
Stockport

Smith (17')
Watt (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Hartlepool
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-1 Stockport County

 Stockport were by far and away the best team in League Two in the second half of the season, and they were only denied automatic promotion because of a very slow start, as they readjusted to life back in the EFL. Not only that, but Salford were very poor at home all season, most recently putting in a disappointing performance against Gillingham in an important game, so it is likely the visitors emerge with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawStockport County
36.64% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.85% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.76% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)75.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.35% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 36.64%
    Stockport County 36.5%
    Draw 26.85%
Salford CityDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.64%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.5%

How you voted: Salford City vs Stockport

Salford City
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Stockport County
50.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 39
Stockport
1-1
Salford City
Lemonheigh-Evans (6')
Hussey (71')
Hendry (51')
Mallan (67')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Salford City
0-2
Stockport

Eastham (40')
Collar (45+2'), Madden (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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