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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
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Harrogate Town
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Morecambe
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Salford City
League Two | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Stockport County

Salford City
1 - 0
Stockport

Smith (17')
Watt (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Hartlepool
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-1 Stockport County

Stockport were by far and away the best team in League Two in the second half of the season, and they were only denied automatic promotion because of a very slow start, as they readjusted to life back in the EFL. Not only that, but Salford were very poor at home all season, most recently putting in a disappointing performance against Gillingham in an important game, so it is likely the visitors emerge with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawStockport County
36.64% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.85% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.76% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)75.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.35% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 36.64%
    Stockport County 36.5%
    Draw 26.85%
Salford CityDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.64%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.5%

How you voted: Salford City vs Stockport

Salford City
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Stockport County
50.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Salford City
0-2
Stockport

Eastham (40')
Collar (45+2'), Madden (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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