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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
58.59% ( 0.18) | 22.2% ( -0.07) | 19.22% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.99% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.61% ( 0.15) | 45.39% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.28% ( 0.14) | 67.72% ( -0.14) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% ( 0.11) | 15.17% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.23% ( 0.21) | 43.77% ( -0.2) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.47% ( -0.03) | 37.54% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.69% ( -0.02) | 74.32% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.2% | 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 19.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |