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Championship header 2

League Two
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Salford City

Stockport
1 - 1
Salford City

Lemonheigh-Evans (6')
Hussey (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hendry (51')
Mallan (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Salford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 1-1 Salford City

 So much is at stake for both sides in the race for promotion, but they are very evenly-matched, and so we expect they will have to settle for a draw on Friday night. Salford have been very good away from home all season, but Stockport are League Two's form side, and they have not lost a league game at Edgeley Park since November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
49.72% (0.52 0.52) 24.8% (-0.1 -0.1) 25.48% (-0.419 -0.42)
Both teams to score 52.93% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.092999999999996 0.09)49.48% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (0.084000000000003 0.08)71.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.253 0.25)19.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.406 0.41)52.06% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (-0.29700000000001 -0.3)33.91% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (-0.322 -0.32)70.58% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 49.72%
    Salford City 25.48%
    Draw 24.79%
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.79% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.72%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.48%

How you voted: Stockport vs Salford City

Stockport County
50.0%
Draw
18.8%
Salford City
31.3%
32
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Salford City
0-2
Stockport

Eastham (40')
Collar (45+2'), Madden (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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