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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Salford City

Carlisle
2 - 3
Salford City

Garner (77'), Dennis (85' pen.)
Guy (16'), Edmondson (45+1'), Garner (78'), Dennis (86')
Mellish (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hendry (23'), Bolton (28', 88')
Touray (52'), Watt (83'), McAleny (84')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSalford City
37.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.12%35.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (0.0049999999999955 0)54.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.0040000000000013 0)76.17% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)65.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 37.3%
    Salford City 35.57%
    Draw 27.12%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.3%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.57%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Salford City
1-4
Carlisle
Smith (52')
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Guy (43')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 30
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
gameweek 15
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Alessandra (33'), Bennett (55')
Guy (2'), Mellish (36'), Kayode (45'), Tanner (66')
Dieseruvwe (90')
Touray (64'), Bernard (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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