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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Stockport County |
31.36% ( -0.01) | 28.17% ( -0.04) | 40.47% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.57% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.57% ( 0.15) | 59.43% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.2% ( 0.12) | 79.8% ( -0.12) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.38% ( 0.07) | 34.61% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.66% ( 0.08) | 71.34% ( -0.08) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% ( 0.11) | 28.78% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.38% ( 0.13) | 64.62% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 40.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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