Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.