Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
