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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Grimsby Town

Sutton
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Lakin (88' pen.)
Eastmond (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Obikwu (44')
Thompson (54'), Rose (80'), Rodgers (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
39.17% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04) 26.25% (0.0020000000000024 0) 34.58% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.4% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.22% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)25.72% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)60.64% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.022999999999996 0.02)28.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.024999999999999 0.02)64.12% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.17%
    Grimsby Town 34.58%
    Draw 26.25%
Sutton UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.17%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 34.58%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Grimsby Town
1-1
Sutton
Pyke (19')
Smith (45+5')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Grimsby Town
0-0
Sutton
Waterfall (42'), Holohan (47'), Green (86')
John (34'), Boldewijn (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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