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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Grimsby Town |
42.9% ( 0.74) | 24.38% ( -0.19) | 32.71% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 59.07% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.42% ( 0.72) | 43.57% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.03% ( 0.71) | 65.96% ( -0.71) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( 0.64) | 20.45% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.09% ( 1.01) | 52.9% ( -1.01) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.26% ( 0.02) | 25.74% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.33% ( 0.02) | 60.67% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Grimsby Town |
2-1 @ 9% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.86% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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