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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Wrexham AFC

Sutton
1 - 2
Wrexham

Lakin (76')
Adom-Malaki (7'), Eastmond (51'), Sanderson (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boyle (45+3'), Lee (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-1 Wrexham

 There will be big pressure on Wrexham head coach Parkinson to deliver a positive result here, and we are expecting this to be a nervy affair. The Welsh outfit can call upon the superior quality, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawWrexham
39.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 34.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)49.97% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)71.95% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.86% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)59.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)27.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)63.27% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.55%
    Wrexham 34.54%
    Draw 25.91%
Sutton UnitedDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.54%

How you voted: Sutton vs Wrexham

Sutton United
23.1%
Draw
7.7%
Wrexham
69.2%
26
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Wrexham
2-1
Sutton
Mullin (14'), Lee (89')
Tunnicliffe (89'), Mullin (90+4'), McClean (90+6')
O'Brien (59')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2021 5.20pm
Gameweek 36
Sutton
0-0
Wrexham
Eastmond (45')
Young (44'), Hall-Johnson (55'), Davies (85')
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
4-0
Sutton
Thomas (27', 78'), Harris (42'), Yussuf (73')
Vassell (70')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sutton
3-1
Wrexham
Bugiel (12', 36', 66' pen.)
Bugiel (19'), Davis (45')
Jennings (90')
Sep 14, 2019 5.20pm
Gameweek 14
Wrexham
1-1
Sutton
Grant (88' pen.)
Young (61')
Beautyman (63')
Butler (88'), Bolarinwa (89'), Ajiboye (92')
Eastmond (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
> League Two Full Table


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