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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Sutton United

Notts County
3 - 4
Sutton

Langstaff (13' pen.), Crowley (33', 70')
O'Brien (68')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jackson (6'), Smith (16'), Sanderson (64'), Lakin (77' pen.)
Adom-Malaki (22'), Goodliffe (31'), Lakin (51'), Hart (81'), Clay (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Crewe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-0 Sutton United

 Notts County's awful results should ease in Tuesday's rescheduled game against the league's bottom club, with the hosts expected to return to winning ways after recent defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSutton United
62.48% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92) 19.21% (0.243 0.24) 18.31% (0.688 0.69)
Both teams to score 61.92% (0.521 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (0.048000000000002 0.05)32.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)54.62% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.85% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)10.15% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.62% (-0.482 -0.48)33.38% (0.489 0.49)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (0.74000000000001 0.74)31.08% (-0.735 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (0.855 0.85)67.4% (-0.85000000000001 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 62.48%
    Sutton United 18.31%
    Draw 19.21%
Notts CountyDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.21% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.48%
1-1 @ 8.44% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.21%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 18.31%

How you voted: Notts County vs Sutton

Notts County
79.3%
Draw
13.8%
Sutton United
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Sutton
5-1
Notts County
Kizzi (2'), Patrick (23', 51'), Beautyman (63'), Smith (78')
Eastmond (5'), Milsom (6'), Goodliffe (45+3')
McGoldrick (69')
Langstaff (4'), Bostock (37'), Baldwin (74')
Stone (15')
> Preview
May 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 51
Notts County
3-2
Sutton
Rodrigues (8', 90+4' pen.), Wootton (48')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')
Olaofe (20'), Bugiel (62')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
0-1
Notts County

Randall (88')
Wootton (90+4')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Notts County
1-1
Sutton
Thomas (14')
Rose (82')
Beautyman (76')
John (56'), Ajiboye (90')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sutton
1-1
Notts County
Beautyman (11')
Beautyman (76'), Collins (92')
Wootton (52')
McCrory (18')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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