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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Sutton United

Notts County
3 - 4
Sutton

Langstaff (13' pen.), Crowley (33', 70')
O'Brien (68')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jackson (6'), Smith (16'), Sanderson (64'), Lakin (77' pen.)
Adom-Malaki (22'), Goodliffe (31'), Lakin (51'), Hart (81'), Clay (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Crewe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-0 Sutton United

Notts County's awful results should ease in Tuesday's rescheduled game against the league's bottom club, with the hosts expected to return to winning ways after recent defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSutton United
62.48% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92) 19.21% (0.243 0.24) 18.31% (0.688 0.69)
Both teams to score 61.92% (0.521 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (0.048000000000002 0.05)32.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)54.62% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.85% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)10.15% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.62% (-0.482 -0.48)33.38% (0.489 0.49)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (0.74000000000001 0.74)31.08% (-0.735 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (0.855 0.85)67.4% (-0.85000000000001 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 62.48%
    Sutton United 18.31%
    Draw 19.21%
Notts CountyDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.21% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.48%
1-1 @ 8.44% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.21%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 18.31%

How you voted: Notts County vs Sutton

Notts County
Draw
Sutton United
Notts County
79.3%
Draw
13.8%
Sutton United
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Sutton
5-1
Notts County
Kizzi (2'), Patrick (23', 51'), Beautyman (63'), Smith (78')
Eastmond (5'), Milsom (6'), Goodliffe (45+3')
McGoldrick (69')
Langstaff (4'), Bostock (37'), Baldwin (74')
Stone (15')
May 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 51
Notts County
3-2
Sutton
Rodrigues (8', 90+4' pen.), Wootton (48')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')
Olaofe (20'), Bugiel (62')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
0-1
Notts County

Randall (88')
Wootton (90+4')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Notts County
1-1
Sutton
Thomas (14')
Rose (82')
Beautyman (76')
John (56'), Ajiboye (90')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sutton
1-1
Notts County
Beautyman (11')
Beautyman (76'), Collins (92')
Wootton (52')
McCrory (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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