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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Sutton United

Notts County
3 - 4
Sutton

Langstaff (13' pen.), Crowley (33', 70')
O'Brien (68')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jackson (6'), Smith (16'), Sanderson (64'), Lakin (77' pen.)
Adom-Malaki (22'), Goodliffe (31'), Lakin (51'), Hart (81'), Clay (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Crewe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-0 Sutton United

Notts County's awful results should ease in Tuesday's rescheduled game against the league's bottom club, with the hosts expected to return to winning ways after recent defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSutton United
62.48% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92) 19.21% (0.243 0.24) 18.31% (0.688 0.69)
Both teams to score 61.92% (0.521 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (0.048000000000002 0.05)32.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)54.62% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.85% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)10.15% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.62% (-0.482 -0.48)33.38% (0.489 0.49)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (0.74000000000001 0.74)31.08% (-0.735 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (0.855 0.85)67.4% (-0.85000000000001 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 62.48%
    Sutton United 18.31%
    Draw 19.21%
Notts CountyDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.21% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.48%
1-1 @ 8.44% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.21%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 18.31%

How you voted: Notts County vs Sutton

Notts County
79.3%
Draw
13.8%
Sutton United
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Sutton
5-1
Notts County
Kizzi (2'), Patrick (23', 51'), Beautyman (63'), Smith (78')
Eastmond (5'), Milsom (6'), Goodliffe (45+3')
McGoldrick (69')
Langstaff (4'), Bostock (37'), Baldwin (74')
Stone (15')
May 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 51
Notts County
3-2
Sutton
Rodrigues (8', 90+4' pen.), Wootton (48')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')
Olaofe (20'), Bugiel (62')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
0-1
Notts County

Randall (88')
Wootton (90+4')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Notts County
1-1
Sutton
Thomas (14')
Rose (82')
Beautyman (76')
John (56'), Ajiboye (90')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sutton
1-1
Notts County
Beautyman (11')
Beautyman (76'), Collins (92')
Wootton (52')
McCrory (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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