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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 27
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Grimsby Town


Curtis (62')
FT

Thompson (29'), Holohan (44'), Andrews (64'), Hume (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Grimsby Town

 AFC Wimbledon are on cloud nine after a historic victory over their arch rivals on the weekend, and we believe that the Dons can carry the positive momentum into this midweek clash. Grimsby had to really scrap for a narrow win over fellow strugglers Forest Green last time out, and we think that the Mariners will not be as successful at Plough Lane on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
49.73% (-2.647 -2.65) 23.89% (0.682 0.68) 26.38% (1.963 1.96)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-0.305 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (-1.32 -1.32)44.88% (1.318 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (-1.282 -1.28)67.23% (1.281 1.28)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (-1.482 -1.48)18.13% (1.481 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.91% (-2.59 -2.59)49.08% (2.589 2.59)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (0.867 0.87)30.72% (-0.867 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (1.013 1.01)66.98% (-1.015 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.73%
    Grimsby Town 26.38%
    Draw 23.88%
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.365 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.73%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.31 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.363 0.36)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.512 0.51)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.387 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.201 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.38%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Grimsby Town
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Grimsby Town
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Clifton (58'), Conteh (69'), Green (88'), Pyke (90+8')
Johnson (49'), Al-Hamadi (61'), Little (90+6')
> Preview
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Grimsby Town
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Ogundere (7' og.)
> Preview
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Grimsby Town
Chislett (60')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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