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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Accrington Stanley

Swindon
1 - 2
Accrington

Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
54.16% (-0.186 -0.19) 22.04% (0.061 0.06) 23.8% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (-0.138 -0.14)38.8% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (-0.145 -0.15)61.11% (0.147 0.15)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)14.35% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78% (-0.208 -0.21)42.22% (0.209 0.21)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)65.53% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.16%
    Accrington Stanley 23.8%
    Draw 22.03%
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.22% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Swindon vs Accrington

Swindon Town
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
Feb 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Kee (25' pen.), Jackson (62')
Clark (48'), McConville (75'), Kee (90')
Richards (71' pen.)
Dunne (46'), Purkiss (49'), Lancashire (66'), Banks (78')
Gordon (74')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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