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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Harrogate Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Harrogate

Curtis (58')
Balmer (52')
Curtis (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daly (8')
March (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Bradford
Saturday, March 23 at 1pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate Town

Wimbledon are the favourites heading into this match, but they are going up against a Harrogate side that are unbeaten in their last three and hold the league's second-best away record this term, which includes just one loss in their last ten games on the road. We are expecting a close encounter here and feel that there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawHarrogate Town
62.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.29% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 16.15% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.54% (-0.1 -0.1)46.46% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.26% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)68.74% (0.10000000000001 0.1)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)14.26% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.98% (-0.061 -0.06)42.03% (0.067 0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.2% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)41.8% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.74% (-0.073 -0.07)78.26% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 62.55%
    Harrogate Town 16.15%
    Draw 21.28%
AFC WimbledonDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 62.55%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.28%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.15%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate

AFC Wimbledon
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Harrogate Town
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Harrogate
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Gibson (79'), McDonald (88')
Bugiel (6')
Little (83'), Pell (90+1')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Harrogate
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Armstrong (89'), Sutton (90+7')
Chislett (32', 57')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Harrogate
Kalambayi (39'), Senior (84'), Davison (88')
Daly (48'), McArdle (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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