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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Notts County

Swindon
2 - 1
Notts County

Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jatta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Doncaster
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 Notts County

 Both teams have struggled with putting together consistent performances this season, which is reflected by their current league standings. However, Notts County does head into the game as the favourites despite losing their most recent outing, with the team boasting enough quality to get the job done here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
44.5% (0.11199999999999 0.11) 22.22% (-0.032 -0.03) 33.28% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 67.37% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.19% (0.148 0.15)32.81% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.49% (0.171 0.17)54.51% (-0.166 -0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (0.099999999999994 0.1)15.46% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (0.182 0.18)44.33% (-0.176 -0.18)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)20.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (0.048999999999999 0.05)52.68% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 44.5%
    Notts County 33.28%
    Draw 22.22%
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Swindon vs Notts County

Swindon Town
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Notts County
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
> Match Report
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Notts County
Norris (47')
Dunne (90')

Brisley (17'), Grant (90')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Notts County
1-0
Swindon
Stead (32' pen.)

Norris (33')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall106131912719
2Gillingham10613125719
3BarrowBarrow10613137619
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster106131512319
5Notts County10532179818
6Port Vale105321512318
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe9513109116
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Grimsby Town105051317-415
11Chesterfield103521710714
12AFC Wimbledon741295413
13MK Dons103341312112
14Bradford CityBradford93331110112
15Salford City933369-312
16Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
17Tranmere RoversTranmere925259-411
18Harrogate TownHarrogate10325916-711
19Bromley102441214-210
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham103161216-410
21Swindon TownSwindon10154913-48
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle102171019-97
23Accrington StanleyAccrington91351119-86
24Morecambe10046814-64
> League Two Full Table


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