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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Notts County

Swindon
2 - 1
Notts County

Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jatta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Doncaster
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 Notts County

 Both teams have struggled with putting together consistent performances this season, which is reflected by their current league standings. However, Notts County does head into the game as the favourites despite losing their most recent outing, with the team boasting enough quality to get the job done here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
44.5% (0.11199999999999 0.11) 22.22% (-0.032 -0.03) 33.28% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 67.37% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.19% (0.148 0.15)32.81% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.49% (0.171 0.17)54.51% (-0.166 -0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (0.099999999999994 0.1)15.46% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (0.182 0.18)44.33% (-0.176 -0.18)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)20.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (0.048999999999999 0.05)52.68% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 44.5%
    Notts County 33.28%
    Draw 22.22%
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Swindon vs Notts County

Swindon Town
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Notts County
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
> Match Report
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Notts County
Norris (47')
Dunne (90')

Brisley (17'), Grant (90')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Notts County
1-0
Swindon
Stead (32' pen.)

Norris (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920
> League Two Full Table


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