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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 0
Gillingham

Bugiel (33', 65')
Neufville (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ehmer (11'), Masterson (36'), Clark (58')
Masterson (38')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
48.05% (0.494 0.49) 25.76% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 26.19% (-0.413 -0.41)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)52.83% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (0.023 0.02)74.45% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (0.23399999999999 0.23)21.99% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.348 0.35)55.3% (-0.343 -0.34)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (-0.324 -0.32)35.12% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (-0.343 -0.34)71.87% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 48.05%
    Gillingham 26.19%
    Draw 25.76%
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 26.19%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Gillingham
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Gillingham

Assal (62')
Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Chislett (15'), Currie (71')
Nightingale (9'), Marsh (47'), Maghoma (63')

Ehmer (35'), Lee (47'), Reeves (57'), Wright (67'), Kashket (81')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Gillingham
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Tucker (74'), Lee (83')
Mebude (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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