League Two

League Two | Gameweek 21

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 0
Swindon

Bugiel (6'), Little (59'), Al-Hamadi (79', 90+2')
Neufville (13'), Al-Hamadi (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Blake-Tracy (13')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 5-0 Ramsgate
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 3-4 Swindon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Swindon Town
52.23% ( 0.01)	21.95% ( -0.02)	25.83% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.66% (

0.11)

36.35% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.53% (

0.13)

58.48% (

-0.12)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.87% (

0.04)

14.13% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.23% (

0.08)

41.78% (

-0.08)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

0.07)

26.64% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

0.09)

61.87% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 52.23%

Swindon Town 25.83%

Draw 21.95%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.54% Total : 52.23%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.95%	1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.45% 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 25.83%