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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
50.99% (![]() | 25.07% (![]() | 23.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% (![]() | 51.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.39% (![]() | 73.61% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% (![]() | 20.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.26% (![]() | 52.73% (![]() |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.47% (![]() | 36.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% (![]() | 73.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 11.83% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.98% | 1-1 @ 11.91% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |