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Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
1 - 0
Colchester

Shade (64')
Gladwin (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marshall-Miranda (37'), Tchamadeu (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Colchester United

Colchester have looked much better on two fronts since the arrival of their new manager, and a first win under Matt Bloomfield in the league last week will have done wonders for their confidence. Swindon will go into the game as favourites but may not know what to expect from a side under new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
56.67% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.14%19.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.002999999999993 0)53.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.98%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.56% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 56.66%
    Colchester United 19.2%
    Draw 24.13%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.2%
2-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.36%
4-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Colchester United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Norris (74'), Robinson (85', 89')
Comley (35')
Jaiyesimi (48')
Edmonds-Green (70'), Hunt (73'), Baudry (88')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Swindon
0-3
Colchester

Baudry (24'), Iandolo (70')
Eastman (45'), Robinson (55', 75')
Wiredu (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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