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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
1 - 0
Newport

Jephcott (51')
Gladwin (13'), Darcy (19'), Blake-Tracy (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Northampton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Newport
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Newport County

 Swindon have started to turn their form around recently and will be eager to put right the defeat against Northampton on Saturday, but we think Newport will be good enough to get a point at the County Ground, especially given their win at league leaders Leyton Orient on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
50.51% (3.011 3.01) 25.23% (-0.412 -0.41) 24.26% (-2.605 -2.61)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-1.114 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-0.309 -0.31)52.23% (0.305 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.266 -0.27)73.94% (0.262 0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (1.171 1.17)20.69% (-1.175 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (1.815 1.82)53.29% (-1.819 -1.82)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-2.38 -2.38)36.46% (2.376 2.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-2.477 -2.48)73.24% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 50.5%
    Newport County 24.26%
    Draw 25.23%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.56 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.75 0.75)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.553 0.55)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.278 0.28)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.411 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.514 -0.51)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.477 -0.48)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.258 -0.26)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Swindon vs Newport

Swindon Town
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Newport County
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Newport
1-2
Swindon
Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-0
Swindon
Sheehan (1'), Matt (49')
Matt (79'), King (90')

Grant (28'), Jaiyesimi (42'), Yates (90')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-2
Newport
O'Brien (38'), Matt (82')
O'Brien (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93
> League Two Full Table


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