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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
1 - 0
Newport

Jephcott (51')
Gladwin (13'), Darcy (19'), Blake-Tracy (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Northampton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Newport
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Newport County

 Swindon have started to turn their form around recently and will be eager to put right the defeat against Northampton on Saturday, but we think Newport will be good enough to get a point at the County Ground, especially given their win at league leaders Leyton Orient on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
50.51% (3.011 3.01) 25.23% (-0.412 -0.41) 24.26% (-2.605 -2.61)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-1.114 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-0.309 -0.31)52.23% (0.305 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.266 -0.27)73.94% (0.262 0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (1.171 1.17)20.69% (-1.175 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (1.815 1.82)53.29% (-1.819 -1.82)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-2.38 -2.38)36.46% (2.376 2.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-2.477 -2.48)73.24% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 50.5%
    Newport County 24.26%
    Draw 25.23%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.56 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.75 0.75)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.553 0.55)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.278 0.28)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.411 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.514 -0.51)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.477 -0.48)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.258 -0.26)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Swindon vs Newport

Swindon Town
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Newport County
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Newport
1-2
Swindon
Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-0
Swindon
Sheehan (1'), Matt (49')
Matt (79'), King (90')

Grant (28'), Jaiyesimi (42'), Yates (90')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-2
Newport
O'Brien (38'), Matt (82')
O'Brien (55')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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