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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
1 - 0
Newport

Jephcott (51')
Gladwin (13'), Darcy (19'), Blake-Tracy (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Northampton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Newport
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Newport County

 Swindon have started to turn their form around recently and will be eager to put right the defeat against Northampton on Saturday, but we think Newport will be good enough to get a point at the County Ground, especially given their win at league leaders Leyton Orient on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
50.51% (3.011 3.01) 25.23% (-0.412 -0.41) 24.26% (-2.605 -2.61)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-1.114 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-0.309 -0.31)52.23% (0.305 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.266 -0.27)73.94% (0.262 0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (1.171 1.17)20.69% (-1.175 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (1.815 1.82)53.29% (-1.819 -1.82)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-2.38 -2.38)36.46% (2.376 2.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-2.477 -2.48)73.24% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 50.5%
    Newport County 24.26%
    Draw 25.23%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.56 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.75 0.75)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.553 0.55)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.278 0.28)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.411 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.514 -0.51)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.477 -0.48)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.258 -0.26)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Swindon vs Newport

Swindon Town
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Newport County
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Newport
1-2
Swindon
Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-0
Swindon
Sheehan (1'), Matt (49')
Matt (79'), King (90')

Grant (28'), Jaiyesimi (42'), Yates (90')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-2
Newport
O'Brien (38'), Matt (82')
O'Brien (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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