League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
1 - 1
Crawley

Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Crawley Town

Having lost ground in the promotion race, Swindon will be desperate to make a return to winning ways on Tuesday, and we just back their strong squad to get over the line on home turf. While the visitors posted an impressive away result at the weekend, their schedule does not get any easier and Yems's side could just fall short this time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Crawley Town
45.34%	25.44%	29.22%

Both teams to score 53.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.26%

49.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.25%

71.75%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08%

21.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81%

55.19%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87%

31.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.54%

67.46%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 45.33%

Crawley Town 29.22%

Draw 25.43%

Swindon Town	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.33%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.22%