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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Gillingham

Swindon
0 - 1
Gillingham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Mahoney (22')
Clarke (68'), Alexander (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swindon Town 3-1 Gillingham

Swindon have been in captivating home form this season, winning their last five encounters at The County Ground and there is no sign of them stopping any time soon. Gillingham have struggled to score all season and the trip to Swindon could be too tough a nut to crack with their current form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.16%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
56.16% (-1.907 -1.91) 21.81% (0.382 0.38) 22.03% (1.522 1.52)
Both teams to score 58.77% (1.003 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (0.248 0.25)39.84% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.8% (0.25700000000001 0.26)62.2% (-0.259 -0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)14.07% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (-1.001 -1)41.67% (0.999 1)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (1.56 1.56)31.6% (-1.561 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (1.757 1.76)68% (-1.759 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 56.16%
    Gillingham 22.03%
    Draw 21.81%
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 56.16%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.205 0.21)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.312 0.31)
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.167 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 22.03%

How you voted: Swindon vs Gillingham

Swindon Town
81.8%
Draw
0.0%
Gillingham
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-3
Gillingham
Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Gillingham
0-0
Swindon
Mnoga (6')
Mnoga (10')
Williams (55')
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 36
Swindon
1-3
Gillingham
Pitman (41')
Twine (76')
Oliver (59', 63'), Dempsey (68')
Ogilvie (47'), O'Keefe (76')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 16
Gillingham
2-0
Swindon
Oliver (17'), Coyle (80')
Robertson (12'), McKenzie (62')

Payne (25'), Odimayo (42'), Conroy (53')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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