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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Gillingham

Swindon
0 - 1
Gillingham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Mahoney (22')
Clarke (68'), Alexander (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swindon Town 3-1 Gillingham

Swindon have been in captivating home form this season, winning their last five encounters at The County Ground and there is no sign of them stopping any time soon. Gillingham have struggled to score all season and the trip to Swindon could be too tough a nut to crack with their current form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.16%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
56.16% (-1.907 -1.91) 21.81% (0.382 0.38) 22.03% (1.522 1.52)
Both teams to score 58.77% (1.003 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (0.248 0.25)39.84% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.8% (0.25700000000001 0.26)62.2% (-0.259 -0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)14.07% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (-1.001 -1)41.67% (0.999 1)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (1.56 1.56)31.6% (-1.561 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (1.757 1.76)68% (-1.759 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 56.16%
    Gillingham 22.03%
    Draw 21.81%
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 56.16%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.205 0.21)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.312 0.31)
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.167 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 22.03%

How you voted: Swindon vs Gillingham

Swindon Town
81.8%
Draw
0.0%
Gillingham
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-3
Gillingham
Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Gillingham
0-0
Swindon
Mnoga (6')
Mnoga (10')
Williams (55')
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 36
Swindon
1-3
Gillingham
Pitman (41')
Twine (76')
Oliver (59', 63'), Dempsey (68')
Ogilvie (47'), O'Keefe (76')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 16
Gillingham
2-0
Swindon
Oliver (17'), Coyle (80')
Robertson (12'), McKenzie (62')

Payne (25'), Odimayo (42'), Conroy (53')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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